Why the Job Market Is Giving the Fed Cover to Extend a Pause on Rate Cuts
The central bank is grappling with how quickly to lower interest rates after pausing cuts last month.
Traders now see just one Fed rate cut this year
Traders of short-term interest-rate futures on Friday now expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates just one time this year, backing away from earlier bets on two rate cuts starting in June, after government data showed the labor market remains strong and a closely-watched survey showed a jump in consumers' inflation expectations.
Solid January Jobs Will Likely Keep Fed Interest Rate Cuts On Hold
The January jobs report revealed a drop in the unemployment rate to 4%, accompanied by payroll gains of 143,000. A Fed interest rate cut in March is now very unlikely.
Jobs report surprise could upend Fed rate cut bets in coming months
The U.S. economy added a smaller-than-expected tally of new jobs last month, but a sharp jump in wage growth and revisions tied to population changes and immigration make for a noisy report that might not indicate broader strength in the labor market.
Fed might need to hold rates steady ‘for quite some time,’ Logan says
Even inflation falling close to 2% in the coming months might not necessarily allow the Fed to cut rates soon, Logan said.
Tariffs Could Reduce Chance Of Fed Interest Rates Cuts In 2025
Tariffs on U.S. goods and services may complicate the Federal Reserve’s decision making as market expectations for 2025 interest rate cuts decline.
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as inflation remains above 2%
The Federal Reserve opted to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged in its first policy meeting since President Trump's inauguration.
US job growth slows in January; unemployment rate at 4.0%
U.S. job growth slowed more than expected in January after robust gains in the prior two months, but a 4.0% unemployment rate probably will give the Federal Reserve cover to hold off cutting interest rates at least until June.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent wants to bypass the Fed to lower interest rates
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has a new plan in the fight to bring down historically high interest rates, and it’s got ...
Fed's Jefferson: Rates likely to fall over medium term
The Federal Reserve can continue cutting interest rates at least "over the medium term," Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said ...
Fed pauses interest rate cuts as inflation, Trump's plans create uncertainty
The Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate unchanged as officials grappled with uncertainty caused by inflation and ...
How to profit from the Fed’s latest interest rate pause
The Federal Reserve’s decision on Wednesday to keep its overnight bank lending rate where it is — following a full percentage ...
Morgan Stanley revises Fed rate cut forecast amid tariff uncertainty
Morgan Stanley joined Barclays and Macquarie in forecasting a single 25 basis point interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal ...
After U.S. jobs data, fed-funds futures show greater chance Fed stays on pause in March
Federal-funds futures were indicating Friday morning that the Federal Reserve will likely continue to pause its interest-rate-cutting cycle at its policy meeting in March, as traders assessed the ...