The Bucks earned a monumental Game 3 win at home over the Pacers, 117-101. Pascal Siakam led the way for the Pacers with 28 points, but that wasn’t enough against Giannis Antetokounmpo and Gary Trent ‘s 37 points apiece. Damian Lillard only scored seven points on 2-for-11 from the field, so his efficiency will be something to watch in Game 4.

SportsLine's model simulated Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks 10,000 times and revealed its NBA picks for Sunday's Game 4 Eastern Conference playoff first-round matchup

The Milwaukee Bucks are 4.5-point favorites following their impressive Game 3 victory. Milwaukee’s turnaround seems too good to be true, as Damian Lillard’s struggles will make it hard for the home team to put up enough points. Depending on Trent to show up again is a recipe for disaster.